Final opinion polls ahead of Israel's national election on Tuesday, October 27 indicate continued political deadlock, with neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's governing bloc nor the opposition-led change bloc projected to secure the 61 seats required for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset in most surveys, ANI reported on Saturday, citing The Times of Israel. The surveys, aired by Israeli television channels on Friday, were the final polls permitted before the vote; Israeli law bars publication of new polls in the last days before an election.

Source: ANI via Desi Talk Chicago (citing Times of Israel), Oct 24, 2026

According to ANI's report of the Times of Israel summary, a Channel 13 poll predicted 54 seats for the change bloc against 50 for parties loyal to Netanyahu, with predominantly Arab parties securing 16 seats; it projected 22 seats for Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar, 19 for Netanyahu's Likud, 14 for Naftali Bennett's B'Yachad and 10 for the left-wing Democrats, with the Joint List at nine and Shas and Ra'am at seven each. A Channel 12 survey projected 56 seats for the change bloc and 50 for the governing coalition, with the Joint List and Ra'am together at 14. ANI reported that Eisenkot's Yashar was projected as the largest single party in two of the three main surveys, ahead of Likud.

Source: ANI via Desi Talk Chicago (citing Times of Israel), Oct 24, 2026

Two other surveys told a different story, and both are reported here with attribution. An i24NEWS survey by Direct Polls gave Netanyahu's bloc 59 seats — including four for Ofer Winter's Amcha Israel party, which the other surveys projected below the threshold — against 47 for the Eisenkot-associated bloc. A Channel 14 poll by NEXT DATA, conducted under Shlomo Filber among 7,937 respondents, projected an unchanged 62-seat majority for Netanyahu's bloc, with Likud at 30 seats and Yashar at 20, and gave Netanyahu a 55%-45% lead over Eisenkot on suitability for prime minister. The wide spread between surveys — Netanyahu's bloc ranges from 50 to 62 depending on the pollster — is itself the story three days before the vote.

Source: Votendi (survey synthesis), Oct 2026

What all the surveys agree on is the arithmetic of the threshold and the smaller parties: several parties — including Yoaz Hendel's Reservists and Winter's People of Israel in most polls — are projected to fall below the 3.25% electoral threshold, which would waste their votes and reshape the final seat count, and Arab parties, projected at 14 to 16 seats combined, could decide who can form a government if neither bloc reaches 61. These are opinion-poll projections reported by the named outlets, not results; Israel votes on Tuesday, October 27. Sources: ANI citing The Times of Israel, Votendi's synthesis of the Kan 11, Channel 12, Channel 13 and i24NEWS surveys, and Israel Realtime's report of the Channel 14/NEXT DATA poll.

Source: Israel Realtime (Channel 14 / NEXT DATA poll), Oct 22, 2026