New Delhi, Nov 11 — A low-pressure area is likely to form over the southeast Bay of Bengal around November 13, 2026, and is likely to move northwestwards and become a well-marked low-pressure area during the subsequent 24 hours, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said in its national weather bulletin.

Source: India Meteorological Department

The Hindu BusinessLine reported on November 11 that the IMD had upgraded its outlook for the system, identifying a parent cyclonic circulation over the South Andaman Sea on Wednesday, and said forecast models have not yet converged on the system's intensification or its eventual track. The IMD has not forecast that the low will become a cyclone.

Source: The Hindu BusinessLine

Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal on November 15 and 16, and over Kerala and Mahe on November 16, the IMD said, with thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds of 40-50 kmph, gusting to 60 kmph, likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal during the spell.

In the north, a western disturbance is likely to cause scattered to fairly widespread rainfall and snowfall over the Western Himalayan Region till November 13, with isolated heavy rainfall and snowfall likely over the Kashmir Valley on November 12, according to the IMD bulletin, a forecast also carried by the Daily Jagran.

Source: Daily Jagran

The IMD said fairly widespread to widespread rainfall is likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal on Sunday, extending to Kerala and Mahe on Monday, and advised people in the affected regions to follow its updated bulletins as the Bay system takes shape.