NEW DELHI: The low-pressure area over the southeast Bay of Bengal intensified into a well-marked low-pressure area over the same region by 5.30 am on Saturday, November 14, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The system had formed at 5.30 am on Friday, November 13, under the influence of a cyclonic circulation over the central Andaman Sea and adjoining Andaman and Nicobar Islands, news agency ANI reported.

Source: ANI via Daily Prabhat, Nov 14, 2026

Nov 13, 5.30 amLow-pressure area forms over the southeast Bay of Bengal
Nov 14, 5.30 amSystem intensifies into a well-marked low
Within 24 hoursDepression expected over the southeast Bay
Nov 16 eveningCyclonic storm possible over the central Bay of Bengal

The IMD said the well-marked low is very likely to move northwestwards and intensify into a depression over the southeast Bay of Bengal during the next 24 hours. It is then expected to move north-northwestwards and gain further strength, potentially developing into a cyclonic storm over the central Bay of Bengal around the evening of November 16, Sambad English reported, adding that if the system reaches cyclonic-storm strength it will be named 'Akvan'. The IMD has not yet indicated a likely landfall location.

Source: Sambad English, Nov 14, 2026

This is a follow-up to the earlier development Awaaz Punjab reported on November 11, when the IMD first forecast that a fresh low was likely to form over the Bay around November 13. That system has now formed and been upgraded in successive IMD bulletins - from a low, to a well-marked low, with a depression and then a cyclonic storm now forecast.

Sea conditions are likely to be rough to very rough. The IMD has advised all fishermen at sea to return to the coast by November 15, and not to venture into the Andaman Sea and areas along and off the Andaman and Nicobar Islands until November 17, the southeast Bay of Bengal from November 15 to 18, and the central Bay of Bengal from November 16 to 19, ANI reported. Heavy rainfall is likely to continue over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands until November 16.

Source: ANI via Daily Prabhat, Nov 14, 2026

On the likely track, Andhra Pradesh State Disaster Management Authority Managing Director Prakhar Jain said current forecasts suggest the system is likely to move towards the north Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh coasts, but that there is no clarity yet on its exact trajectory, intensity or place of landfall, The Hindu reported. Coastal administrations are expected to track the IMD's next bulletins through the weekend as the depression forms.

Source: The Hindu, Nov 13, 2026

What happens next

The next IMD bulletins will show whether the system becomes a depression on November 15 as forecast, and whether the November 16 cyclonic-storm projection - and any coastal impact zone - firms up. No landfall point has been announced yet.