BANGKOK — A Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) warning issued on Tuesday, November 10, 2026 puts 14 provinces at risk of heavy rain and flash flooding from November 10 to 13, with Phuket and Krabi among the named heavy-rain provinces, Bangkok Biz News reported.

Source: Thai Meteorological Department warning via Bangkok Biz News, Nov 10, 2026

The provinces named in the reports of the TMD warning include Phatthalung, Songkhla, Pattani, Yala, Narathiwat, Ranong, Phuket, Krabi, Trang and Satun; the reports do not identify the other four provinces in the 14-province warning or give a date-by-date breakdown for it.

Source: TMD warning, reported Nov 10, 2026

Separately, the Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (DDPM) has placed 16 central and southern provinces on flood alert from November 9 to 13 as the TMD forecast heavy to very heavy rain, Nation Thailand reported on November 9. The DDPM alert covers Phetchaburi and Prachuap Khiri Khan in the central region, together with all 14 southern provinces: Chumphon, Surat Thani, Nakhon Si Thammarat, Phatthalung, Songkhla, Pattani, Yala, Narathiwat, Ranong, Phang Nga, Phuket, Krabi, Trang and Satun. The two notices have different scopes and neither replaces the other.

Source: DDPM alert via Nation Thailand, Nov 9, 2026

14 provincesIn the TMD's November 10 warning for heavy rain and flash flooding, November 10-13
16 provincesIn the DDPM's separate flood alert, November 9-13
1.80-1.90 mForecast Chao Phraya level at Phra Chulachomklao Fort on mornings to November 17 — above the 1.70 m critical level there (Royal Thai Navy)

The Bangkok tide risk, morning by morning

A Chao Phraya high tide could flood low-lying riverside and canal areas of Bangkok and six central provinces from November 9 to November 17, the DDPM warned. DDPM Director-General Nirat Pongsitthithavorn said the department issued the alert after reviewing water conditions alongside Announcement No. 15/2569, which the Royal Thai Navy's Hydrographic Department published on November 5.

Source: DDPM / Royal Thai Navy Hydrographic Department, Nov 2026

Near Royal Thai Navy Headquarters in Bangkok, water is expected to reach 1.70 to 2.00 metres above mean sea level between about 7:30am and 1:30pm from November 9 to 16, close to the 2-metre critical mark, so water could seep through gaps in flood walls, piers and drains. At Phra Chulachomklao Fort near the river mouth in Samut Prakan, levels of 1.80 to 1.90 metres are forecast between about 6am and noon from November 9 to 17, above the 1.70-metre critical mark there, which could send water over the banks.

Source: Royal Thai Navy tide forecast, reported Nov 9, 2026

The DDPM told Bangkok and six central provinces to prepare: Pathum Thani, Nonthaburi, Nakhon Pathom, Samut Sakhon, Samut Songkhram and Samut Prakan. In Bangkok it singled out areas along the Chao Phraya and its canals, especially low-lying communities outside the flood walls and places with no permanent flood defences. The Office of the National Water Resources issued its own watch for November 9 to 14 covering eight provinces, adding Chachoengsao on the Bang Pakong River, as well as the Tha Chin and Mae Klong rivers.

Source: DDPM / ONWR warnings, Nov 2026

What is solid

  • The TMD issued a warning on November 10, 2026 covering 14 provinces for heavy rain and flash flooding from November 10 to 13, and the DDPM separately placed 16 provinces on flood alert from November 9 to 13 (TMD via Bangkok Biz News; DDPM via Nation Thailand).
  • The Royal Thai Navy's Hydrographic Department forecast Chao Phraya levels near or above critical marks on most mornings until November 17, and the DDPM warned Bangkok and six central provinces to prepare for November 9 to 17.

What is only claimed

  • These are forecasts and alerts, not confirmed flooding: the Navy's levels are predictions, and officials note rain or stronger winds can change them. Reports of the November 10 TMD warning name only 10 of its 14 provinces and give no date-by-date breakdown.
  • The TMD warning, the DDPM alert and the Navy tide notice are three separate official notices with different province counts and date ranges; they overlap but are not the same warning.

A TMD bulletin issued at 5am on November 9 and reported by Nation Thailand forecast heavy to very heavy rain across southern Thailand from November 9 to 13, with Phuket listed for heavy rain on November 12, and warned that accumulated rainfall could trigger flash floods and rapid run-off, particularly on foothill slopes near waterways and in low-lying areas. The conditions were attributed to a relatively strong high-pressure system from China spreading over upper Thailand and the South China Sea and strengthening easterly winds, with a temperature drop of 3-5 degrees Celsius forecast in the Northeast and 1-3 degrees in the North, Central region, Bangkok and the East.

Source: TMD bulletin via Nation Thailand, Nov 9, 2026

What happens next: the risk window runs through November 13 for the southern heavy rain and through November 17 for the Bangkok-area tides, with the greatest river risk each morning. The DDPM takes calls for help on its 24-hour 1784 hotline and on LINE at @1784DDPM, and the Navy publishes daily Chao Phraya water levels — residents in the named districts should follow those daily updates rather than treat this week's forecast as a guarantee either way.